1st Quarter 2023 Market Pulse

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Real Estate

 

 
 
 
 

As we pass the three-year mark since the outbreak of COVID, our local real estate market is showing signs of a return to more typical, pre-pandemic activity levels. Inventory is rising from the historic lows that characterized the last three years, and price gains are showing signs of easing. While prices are not necessarily coming down, buyers are much more hesitant to make instant offers or offers above asking price. In return, sellers are increasingly inclined to make price reductions as needed.

Our market still has some ground to cover inventory-wise in order to return to a “normal” condition. With many homeowners enjoying low-interest mortgages at a fraction of current rates, a significant number of them may opt to stay put until the mortgage market shows signs of improvement. Until then, our real estate market will likely continue to experience a relatively moderate rate of sales. Rest assured, we'll keep you informed as the year unfolds. The information below provides statistics and trends for your areas of interest. See how they fared during the first quarter of 2023, and reach out with any questions.

Source: PCBOR Q1 2023 Quarterly Market Summary, 12 month rolling year over year for all property types across the PCMLS service areas in Summit and Wasatch Counties.

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12 Month Rolling:  April - March 2022 | April - March 2021
 
AVG SALE PRICE UP 4%
$4,439,030
AVG SALE PRICE UP 13%
$2,061,507
AVG SALE PRICE DOWN 12%
$2,037,933
MED SALE PRICE UP 11%
$3,913,380
MED SALE PRICE UP 19%
$1,600,000
MED SALE PRICE DOWN 10%
$1,935,000
 
 
 
AVG SALE PRICE UP 6%
$2,997,153
AVG SALE PRICE UP 15%
$1,243,995
AVG SALE PRICE UP 7%
$1,438,177
MED SALE PRICE UP 4%
$2,060,000
MED SALE PRICE UP 20%
$1,013,000
MED SALE PRICE UP 28%
$1,150,000
 
 
AVG SALE PRICE DOWN 20%
$2,199,952
AVG SALE PRICE UP 19%
$1,100,352
AVG SALE PRICE UP 8%
$986,625
MED SALE PRICE DOWN 35%
$1,650,740
MED SALE PRICE UP 18%
$986,772
MED SALE PRICE UP 1%
$703,850
 
 
 
AVG SALE PRICE UP 6%
$1,430,597
AVG SALE PRICE UP 33%
$695,500
AVG SALE PRICE UP 19%
$756,265
MED SALE PRICE UP 0%
$955,000
MED SALE PRICE UP 10%
$470,000
MED SALE PRICE UP 11%
$465,000
Not all sold data in the Heber Valley is included in the Park City Multiple Listing Service data; please call for more specific details. All data, information, and interpretation ©2022 Park City Multiple Listing Service, Inc


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Compared to a year ago, inventory levels are significantly increased. Condos are up 125%, while single family is up 114%. Vacant land is up 142%.

In greater Park City, there were 746 residential listings at the end of Q1 2023, compared to only 329 at the end of Q1 2022. However, this inventory level still only represents 65% of pre-pandemic averages.
 


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"The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased modestly for the second straight week, but with the rate of inflation, decelerating rates should gently decline over the course of 2023. Incoming data suggest the housing market has stabilized from a sales and house price perspective. The prospect of lower mortgage rates for the remainder of the year should be welcome news to borrowers who are looking to purchase a home."

                                  - FreddieMac.com  |  April 27, 2023



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The statistics below were drawn on a rolling year-over-year basis for the period ending in March 31, 2023, unless otherwise noted.
 

For single family homes, all but one of the major areas that make up the greater Park City market showed drops in units sold through the 1st quarter of 2023 versus 2022. The exception was in the Jordanelle area, where interest is growing in anticipation of the Mayflower Mountain resort project opening for the 2024-25 ski season. Sales in the Jordanelle area increased 71% over the previous year, albeit at a lower median price point of $1.6 million, which is down from $2.5 million the year prior. The drop in median sale price was attributed primarily to the Benloch Ranch development, where homes priced in the low 7-figures accounted for almost half of all sales in the area. This more than offset higher priced developments like Tuhaye and Victory Ranch, where prices start at twice that figure and climb rapidly from there.

HIGHLIGHTS  |  Stats by Neighborhood

The number of units sold across the primary market area (Summit and Wasatch counties) dropped 32%. A 2% decline in the median sales price to $1.55 million contributed to the 31% drop in total sales volume. Through Q1-23, the $2.05 billion in total sales was down from the Q1-22 year-over-year total of $2.99 billion.

 
Within Park City limits, total unit sales were down 47% over 2022 to 96 units, but sales volume declined just 45% to $426 million this year. The median price of a single-family home within Park City limits rose 11% to $3.9 million. In the popular Old Town area, unit sales were half of the previous year (50 to 26) as the median price set a new record above $3.98 million (+34%).

Snyderville Basin residences followed the prevailing market with sales volume (down 35%) on a modest gain in the overall median price up 4% to $2.06 million. All but one Snyderville neighborhood (Silver Creek South) saw declines in units sold, with Jeremy Ranch dropping the most (62%) to just 20 units sold. Silver Creek South had the only gain with 44 homes sold, nearly five times as many as in the previous year, thanks to a large number of new construction happening in Silver Creek Village. One-third of overall sales volume in the Basin was in Promontory ($264 million). Jeremy Ranch and Glenwild tied for the biggest price increases with the median rising 39% in each. The median sale price in Jeremy Ranch rose to $2.6 million while Glenwild climbed from $4.4 to $6.2 million. Canyons Village held on to the top position with a median price of over $11 million. Among the outlying areas, the Kamas Valley showed a substantial median price increase of 47%.
 
 

The condominium market across the entire Wasatch Back continued to report even more and larger median price increases than did the single-family market. Every major area across the region reported increases of 10% or more, with the overall median increasing by 23%. Total sales volume declined in all areas by 20% to 35%, primarily due to a lack of inventory. 
 

HIGHLIGHTS  |  Stats by Neighborhood

Within Park City limits, condo sales volume was down 35% but median sale price rose 19% to $1.6 million.

In the Snyderville Basin, average and median prices rose by 15 to 20% respectively, and outside of perennial volume leader Canyons Village, Pinebrook and Kimball Junction led in sales volume ($45M and $39M respectively). The Condo market in the Old Town neighborhood paralleled the single-family numbers, with unit sales and volume down on a gain in median price of 41%. The median price of a condominium sold in Old Town is now $1.26 million. Price gains were fairly consistent in all neighborhoods, with Deer Crest leading the gainers with a 67% increase to more than $5. million. Old Town, Upper Deer Valley, and Prospector led the gainers, up 38% or more.

In Wasatch County (areas where 10 or more sales are reported), Jordanelle Park showed the largest gains in sales volume over the prior year (up 48%) despite a decline in median price, down 17% to $805,000.
 
 

In years past, buyers who bought vacant lots with the intention of building in Park City found that two to three years later, the cost of construction (both materials and labor) had increased. Furthermore, supply chain issues remained so pervasive that they no longer wanted to build. Instead, they are putting those lots back on the market. But even those resales were not enough to boost available inventory. This was the only market sector that showed a decline in sale units, volume, and prices across the board

HIGHLIGHTS  |  Stats by Neighborhood

After the explosive growth in 2020 (up 158% in sales volume) and 2021 (up 73%), this past year's land sales slowed, with overall volume dropping 41% in the primary market area. Every major area showed drops in units sold. Snyderville and Heber Valley were hit the hardest, dropping by more than half from the previous year’s total.

Only 15 lots sold within the Park City limits, but that lack of available lots, coupled with high demand, kept the median sale price for the few that did sell just below $2 million.

Jordanelle showed the most activity, selling 274 lots this past year. The median sale price was $700,000, up slightly from the year before. Overall land sales in Summit and Wasatch counties were down 48%, as supply decreased. But prices remained unchanged, having settled at a median of $650,000.
 
Total sales volume dropped in all areas except Wanship/Hoytsville, where sales volume was up 68% on prices that nearly tripled from the year prior. The bulk of these sales were in the new Wohali development near Coalville, which featured multi-acre lots selling for more than $1 million each.


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Absorption Rate: the number of months it would take to sell the
currently listed properties on the market factoring in median list price. 
The stats below compare Year-Over-Year Rolling Averages.
 
PARK CITY LIMITS                           
(Areas 1-9) Includes  Old Town, Thaynes Canyon, Lower Deer Valley Resort, Deer Crest, Upper Deer Valley Resort, Empire Pass, Aerie, Prospector, and Park Meadows.
AS OF MARCH 2023 vs 2021

MEDIAN HOME PRICE
$3,913,380 vs $2,620,000
 
ABSORPTION RATE
if home was listed at median price
6.7 months vs 1.9 months
 
MEDIAN HOME PRICE
$1,600,000 vs $1,100,000
 
ABSORPTION RATE
if home was listed at median price
3.1 months vs 1.9 months
 
SNYDERVILLE BASIN & JORDANELLE
(Areas 10-28) Includes The Canyons, Sun Peak/Bear Hollow, Silver Springs, Old Ranch Road, Kimball, Pinebrook, 
Summit Park, Jeremy Ranch, Glenwild/Silver Creek, Trailside Park, Promontory, Quinn's Junction, Deer Mountain, Tuhaye/Hideout,  Jordanelle, and South Jordanelle.
AS OF MARCH 2023 vs 2021

MEDIAN HOME PRICE
$1,959,217 vs $1,752,500
 
ABSORPTION RATE
if home was listed at median price
5.6 months vs 1.4 months
 
MEDIAN HOME PRICE
$999,450 
vs $600,000
 
ABSORPTION RATE
if home was listed at median price
4.2 months 
vs 1.7 months
 
 HEBER VALLEY                           AS OF MARCH 2023 vs 2021
MEDIAN HOME PRICE
$955,500 
vs $750,000
 
ABSORPTION RATE
if home was listed at median price
   6.3 months 
vs 1 month



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Data for All States


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As you can see from the numbers, our market here in Park City has shifted out of overdrive, with the rapid price escalations beginning to taper off and absorption rates beginning to increase. In short, we are seeing signs of a return to activity levels that more closely resemble the pre-pandemic market. We could still use more inventory, and it is possible that our usual spring selling season is running a little behind with the extended winter we had this year. We have heard anecdotally that some folks are waiting for the snow to melt so they can finish sprucing up their properties before hitting the market.
 
Speaking of snow, we would be remiss if we didn’t take one last chance to appreciate the remarkable winter season that we had this year. Park City Resort closed down its winter operations only a few days ago, and several resorts in the state are still open. And in case you didn’t hear, Alta recorded a record-shattering NINE HUNDRED INCHES of snowfall this season. Incredible!

 

With endless powder days, it was truly a season that dreams are made of. Here’s hoping you got your share of the snow. If you are living elsewhere and missed out on this year’s winter fun, perhaps it is high time that you finally make the move! The market for buyers is better than it has been for quite a while, and we would love to help you find somewhere to call home here in the wonderful Wasatch Back!

Look for our next newsletter with the local Summer Concert Lineup!

Photo: North Fields Sunrise - May 1st, 2023
Photographer: Brent Haddock


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UTAH RANKED #1 STATE IN THE COUNTRY!
by U.S. News & World Report

Utah has impressively claimed the No. 1 position in U.S. News & World Report's Best States rankings, surpassing Washington, which had held the top spot for two consecutive editions. The rankings consider over 70 indicators in eight essential areas such as health care, education, and the environment. Utah's rise to the top is attributed to its strong performance in both the economy and fiscal stability categories. Well done, Utah!

Read the full article here!

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All data, information, and interpretation derived from the Park City Multiple Listing Service, the Park City Board of Realtors®, and Rick Klein, Private Data Consultant. 

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